Markets Wrong on BOJ, China Global Drag, U.S. Recession: Eco Day

This post was originally published on this site
© Reuters. Markets Wrong on BOJ, China Global Drag, U.S. Recession: Eco Day© Reuters. Markets Wrong on BOJ, China Global Drag, U.S. Recession: Eco Day

(Bloomberg) — Welcome to Tuesday, Asia. Here’s the latest news and analysis from Bloomberg Economics to help get your day started:

  • China wants to hold more talks this month to hammer out the details of the “phase one” trade deal touted by Donald Trump before Xi Jinping agrees to sign it, say people familiar with the matter
  • Markets are wrong to assume the Bank of Japan will deepen its negative rate because the Federal Reserve is cutting interest rates and the European Central Bank has expanded its stimulus, says a former executive director at Japan’s central bank
  • Three economists from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology and Harvard University were awarded this year’s Nobel prize for their research into how to move people out of poverty
  • We created a model to determine America’s recession odds. Right now, the indicator estimates the chance of a U.S. recession at some point in the next year is 27%
  • China is buying less from the rest of the world, pushing its trade surplus higher and dragging on global economic growth
  • Global steel demand outside of China is now expected to almost stall in 2019 on shrinking consumption in Europe and a slowdown in the U.S., according to an industry group
Disclaimer: Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. All CFDs (stocks, indexes, futures) and Forex prices are not provided by exchanges but rather by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual market price, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Therefore Fusion Media doesn`t bear any responsibility for any trading losses you might incur as a result of using this data.

Fusion Media or anyone involved with Fusion Media will not accept any liability for loss or damage as a result of reliance on the information including data, quotes, charts and buy/sell signals contained within this website. Please be fully informed regarding the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, it is one of the riskiest investment forms possible.